Showing posts with label Regulation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Regulation. Show all posts

Dec 3, 2007

Merry Christmas Adjustable Rate Mortgage Holders!

United States Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is extremely optimistic that many of the big players in the mortgage industry are going to go to work for thousands of homeowners.

A deal is in the works to extend the lower introductory rate on fixed rate mortgages for 1 - 7 years. My bet is that when it is all said and done, we'll be looking at 3 years.

This is phenomenal news! If it goes through, it will be the government's greatest achievement in alleviating the mortgage meltdown!

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/M/MORTGAGE_CRISIS?SITE=CODER&SECTION=BUSINESS&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT#

Nov 28, 2007

Problems...

The real estate industry is going nuts. We all see the news, read the horror stories and witness giants such as CITI and Countrywide scramble while their stock prices tumble and tumble and tumble...
Rust Belt city mayors recently met to discuss the mortgage mess. With all of the media hype, government officials are calling for changes. They are calling for help. The question is... will help arrive?
I hope not. Here is why. The mortgage mess is due to a few factors.

1. Lack of Consumer Education. Borrowers were told two things:
-Your credit will improve. This is true IF you embrace responsible spending.
-Your home will appreciate. Long term, this is always true. Short term, there are no guarantees. This is especially true for borrowers who didn't treat their home as an investment.

2. Greed.
-Wall Street was getting rich. Can you imagine 1% of hundreds of billions of dollars? -Brokers. While Wall Street was getting fatter than fat, individual mortgage brokers seized the opportunity to gouge clients on their loans.
-While 1% of hundreds of billions is hard to imagine, a $10,000 profit on a single closing hits a little closer to home.

3. Government -A president who wants to increase home ownership (Great principle, but the means to this end has proven errant).
-Greenspan. The jury is still out, BUT interest rate cuts made unaffordable homes, very affordable (for the time being).

Looking for solutions? Check out the next post.

Solutions....

Heads up... This post doesn't present a warm and fuzzy outlook filled with easy solutions. Most problems aren't solved the easy way.

First of all, let's start with solutions that are flat out wrong.

1 - Wall Street. Just take a peek at Citi & Countrywide stock prices. Tell me how bad any investor wants back in.

2 - Expanded Underwriting.
1. The reason this entire mess exists is a lack of underwriting standards. Essentially, people who do not qualify for loans received them.
Wall Street learned its lesson. It's done.
So should the government jump in and take on all of these bad loans? NO WAY!
I completely agree with the government expanding FHA standards to some extent. For example, people who were never late on their mortgage prior to the rate adjusting deserve to refinance. However, everyone does not deserve to get bailed out!

So what is the answer?

TIME! There is a ton of inventory on the market. There are too many builders. There are too many borrowers who simply can not afford their home. There is a lot of downward pressure on the housing market. We are not in a short term market. It's a buy and hold market.

My advice to you.

Get off of craigslist. Start working with a qualified Realtor. Make them show you some comparable sales. You can get a great deal. Buy the cheapest house in the best neighborhood and reap the rewards!

Jun 27, 2007

Own Your Future!

Check out this article.

http://www.denverpost.com/specialreports/ci_4421584

So basically, an elderly couple on fixed income with escalating medical bills was encouraged to obtain an option arm loan.

What is an option arm?
-Basically, an option arm is an adjustable rate mortgage with payment options. You can pay interest, amortization or the minimum payment which is actually less than your interest rate. In other words, every month you make the minimum payment, you owe more on your house then you did before. When you owe 110 - 115% of your homes value.... hasta luego minimum payment and hello amortizing loan.

Is the option arm evil?
-Yes and no. It's definitely not for everyone.

Who is it for and why?
-Frankly, right now I wouldn't encourage anyone to take on an option arm. If short term interest rates were very low (i.e. 3%), the market was seeing strong appreciation (i.e. 5%) and the borrower is financially capable of making drastically larger payments should the negative amortization cap hit.
In other words, I only recommend this loan under certain circumstances for savvy knowledgeable investors who understand exactly what the loan entails.

Whose is to blame in the case of this article?
-No one likes to blame consumers (especially senior citizens on fixed income) for trusting a mortgage broker and not asking enough questions. That being said, consumers absolutely must understand the intricacies of their mortgage and always know their worst case scenario! If you are in a loan and don't know your worst case scenario, you need to find out and fast.
-Mortgage brokers looking out for their checkbook are also to blame. Few consumers understand loans. Brokers need to understand this and take on the responsibility to educate their customers. Broker - client relationships must be a win -win. The broker pays his bills and the consumer has the loan that best fits their needs.
-Regulation basically doesn't exist. The government could eliminate more exotic loans.

My two cents....
1. Consumers, take responsibility for your financial future. Be an informed client. Ask for references. No matter what kind of government regulation exists, there will always be brokers looking for maximum commissions with minimal regard for their clients.
2. Brokers, put yourselves in the shoes of the consumer. Make sure they are informed. Ask questions to make sure that this loan best meets their needs.
3. Regulation needs to exist. I believe broker licensing is the most important step. More disclosures that borrowers don't read won't help. Eliminating option arms will not fix the problem.

The Bottom Line:
Work to become an educated and informed client with a reputable broker whose priority is your prosperity!